Robust Geo-Statistical Methods for Modelling Urban Systems (MUS2015)

Robust Geo-Statistical Methods for Modelling Urban Systems (MUS2015)

Abstract & Topics

Modern cities have become complex self-organising socio-technical systems. As such, their future is unpredictable beyond broad demographic and land use trends. This uncertainty creates a serious challenge for traditional urban planning as social, economic and land use dynamics dynamically interact at a pace never experienced before. In this context, it is essential for analytical tools and models to embrace this complexity for their outputs to be useful to urban planners, managers and residents.

As urban sensors and mobile technologies provide real-time and localized information about the 'pulse' of cities, simulation models need to be more flexible and able to drill into household-driven choices and individual behavioural patterns. Multi-agent-based models have long provided the technological flexibility for such a paradigm shift but it is fair to recognize that, too often, scalability or statistical validity issues have limited their usefulness in large urban contexts. Hence, there is a need to develop robust geo-statistical methods to create, localize and evolve large synthetic populations for urban systems. The challenge is to move from system-based approaches to activity-based and even individual-based ones while preserving the statistical significance of demographic distributions and activity patterns in space and time.

Considering the application to urban systems, we invite all scholars across disciplines to submit contributions on innovative and robust geo-statistical methods for multi-agent-based models. Topics include but are not limited to:

  • Localized population synthesis
  • Multiple sample-based geo-statistical calibration
  • Social simulation of demographic transitions
  • Spatial micro-simulation modelling
  • Use of mobile technology to validate activity patterns

Important Dates

  • Workshop paper submissions: 10 August 2015
  • Notification to authors: 1 September 2015
  • Revised workshop paper: 15 September 2015
  • Early registration deadline: around mid September
  • MUS2015: 26 October 2015

Submission & Registration

See the official MUS2015 website: http://www.modelling-urban-systems.com

Organisers

  • Dr. Mohammad-Reza Namazi-Rad - University of Wollongong, Australia
  • Prof. Pascal Perez - University of Wollongong, Australia
  • Prof. Aditya Ghose - University of Wollongong, Australia
  • Dr. Payam Mokhtarian - SingTel Optus, Australia

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